I inevitably include ABT in my decks and often fire the ability. Experience has taught me that ABT does not work on the principles of probability. It works on the principle of maximisation.
Maximisation of human suffering to be specific.
When you are winning it will give you a 5 deep scoring server or R&D with Turing, NEXT Gold and Eli 1.0 on top (to maximise your opponent's suffering). When you have 3 agendas in hand and only 4 agendas left in a deck of 29 it will flip Sales Team, Jackson and Vitruvius to maximise your suffering.
Over advancing Project Vitruvius can be an answer to safely firing ABT, but after scoring a Vitruvius with two agenda counters, ABT will usually maximise your suffering by only turning up when your opponent accesses R&D.
Like an abusive partner, ABT hurts and betrays us, then turns around and does something amazing, promising us it will be good to us in the future.
I'm not sure why this agenda was included in the Core Set when there is an entire expansion dedicated to Fear and Loathing.